News

New study on tipping points in the Amazon rainforest

8 Dec 2025

A study led by LMU doctoral student Selma Bultan shows how the Amazon rainforest could develop in the future.

© Philippe Ciais

A new LMU study estimates that land-use change combined with climate warming could lead to the loss of up to 38 percent of the Amazon rainforest by the end of the 21st century. This would reach the critical threshold of 20 to 25 percent that earlier studies have identified as a tipping point for the Amazon rainforest. LMU-News explains the findings of the study.

Publikation:

Bultan, S., Moustakis, Y., Bathiany, S. & Pongratz, J. (2025). Amazon forest faces severe decline under the dual pressures of anthropogenic climate change and land-use change. PNAS. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2418813122.